MANILA, Philippines – Severe Tropical Storm Kristine (Trami) began moving over the Cordillera Administrative Region early Thursday morning, October 24, after making landfall in Isabela.
Kristine had made landfall in Divilacan, Isabela, at 12:30 am on Thursday.
As of 7 am, the severe tropical storm was already in the vicinity of Aguinaldo, Ifugao. It is moving west at 20 kilometers per hour, slightly faster than the previous 15 km/h.
It continues to have maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h and gustiness of up to 160 km/h.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in its 8 am bulletin on Thursday that Kristine will keep crossing Northern Luzon in the coming hours. During this time, it may slightly weaken due to the mountainous terrain there, and may even be downgraded to a tropical storm.
By Thursday afternoon, Kristine could emerge over the waters west of the Ilocos Region, and then move over the West Philippine Sea, where it may re-intensify.
As Kristine crosses Northern Luzon, PAGASA updated its rainfall forecast for the severe tropical storm. Here are the areas affected by moderate to torrential rain as of 8 am on Thursday:
Thursday, October 24
- Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 millimeters): Pangasinan, Zambales, La Union
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, rest of Ilocos Region, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan, Cavite, Batangas, Calamian Islands, Occidental Mindoro
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Metro Manila, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Laguna, Rizal, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Antique, Aklan, Negros Occidental, Palawan
Friday, October 25
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Pangasinan, Zambales, La Union
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): rest of Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Bataan
The weather bureau reiterated that Kristine may still trigger more floods and landslides.
Meanwhile, tropical cyclone wind signals are in effect for the following areas, also as of 8 am:
Signal No. 3
Storm-force winds (89 to 117 km/h), moderate to significant threat to life and property
- southern part of Cagayan (Peñablanca, Tuguegarao City, Enrile, Solana, Iguig, Tuao)
- Isabela
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- southern part of Abra (Malibcong, Licuan-Baay, Sallapadan, Daguioman, Bucloc, Boliney, Tubo, Luba, Manabo, Bucay, Villaviciosa, Pilar, San Isidro, Peñarrubia)
- Benguet
- northern and central parts of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler)
- northern part of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Lupao, San Jose City, Pantabangan, Guimba, Santo Domingo, Talavera, Llanera, Rizal, Bongabon, Talugtug, Science City of Muñoz, Cuyapo, Nampicuan)
- northern part of Tarlac (Mayantoc, San Clemente, Camiling, Santa Ignacia, Gerona, Paniqui, Moncada, San Manuel, Anao, Ramos, Pura, Victoria)
- northern part of Zambales (Candelaria, Santa Cruz, Masinloc)
- Pangasinan
- La Union
- central and southern parts of Ilocos Sur (Cervantes, Quirino, Sigay, Suyo, Alilem, Sugpon, Tagudin, Santa Cruz, Salcedo, Gregorio del Pilar, San Emilio, Lidlidda, Burgos, San Esteban, Santiago, Banayoyo, Galimuyod, Candon City, Santa Lucia, Nagbukel, Santa Maria, Narvacan)
Signal No. 2
Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property
- Ilocos Norte
- rest of Ilocos Sur
- Apayao
- rest of Abra
- rest of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
- rest of Aurora
- rest of Nueva Ecija
- Bulacan
- rest of Tarlac
- Pampanga
- rest of Zambales
- Bataan
- Metro Manila
- Cavite
- Laguna
- Rizal
- Batangas
- northern and central parts of Quezon (Lucena City, Pagbilao, Infanta, Tiaong, San Antonio, Candelaria, Lucban, Sampaloc, Sariaya, Tayabas City, Mauban, Dolores, General Nakar, Real) including Polillo Islands
- Lubang Island
Signal No. 1
Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property
- Batanes
- rest of Quezon
- rest of Occidental Mindoro
- Oriental Mindoro
- Marinduque
- Romblon
- northern part of mainland Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Araceli, San Vicente, Dumaran, Roxas) including Calamian Islands and Cuyo Islands
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Masbate including Ticao Island and Burias Island
- Aklan
- Capiz
- Antique including Caluya Islands
- Iloilo
- Bantayan Islands
- Northern Samar
- northern part of Samar (Calbayog City, Santo Niño, Almagro, Tagapul-an, San Jorge, Matuguinao, Jiabong, Pagsanghan, Catbalogan City, Gandara, Motiong, San Jose de Buan, Santa Margarita, Tarangnan, Daram, Zumarraga)
- Biliran
- northern part of Eastern Samar (Maslog, Jipapad, Arteche, Oras, San Policarpo)
- northwestern part of Leyte (Calubian, San Isidro)
“The wind flow coming towards the circulation” of the severe tropical storm and the northeasterly windflow are also bringing strong to gale-force gusts to these areas:
Thursday, October 24
- Mimaropa, Bicol, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental
Friday, October 25
- Mimaropa, Bicol, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Bohol, Southern Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands
Saturday, October 26
- Mimaropa, Bicol, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, Siargao-Bucas Grande Island Group
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In addition, there is a minimal to moderate risk of “life-threatening” storm surges “up to 2 meters above normal tide levels” in Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Zambales in the next 48 hours.
For coastal waters in the next 24 hours, PAGASA said up to very rough or high seas are expected in the seaboards of the Ilocos Region and Zambales as well as western seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands (waves up to 8 meters high); western seaboard of Bataan and remaining seaboard of Cagayan Valley (waves up to 7 meters high); western seaboard of Batangas and seaboard of Lubang Island (waves up to 6 meters high); western seaboards of Occidental Mindoro and Calamian Islands (waves up to 5.5 meters high); and seaboard of Aurora, northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, northern seaboard of Camarines Sur, and western seaboard of Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, and mainland Palawan (waves up to 4.5 meters high). Travel is risky for all vessels.
Up to rough seas are seen in the seaboards of Cuyo Islands, Polillo Islands, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and Camarines Norte, as well as western seaboards of Quezon and Negros Oriental (waves up to 4 meters high); remaining seaboards of Luzon and the Visayas (waves up to 3.5 meters high); and seaboards of Dinagat Islands, Camiguin, and Zamboanga del Norte, as well as northern and western seaboards of Surigao del Norte (waves up to 3 meters high). Small vessels should not venture out to sea.
Up to moderate seas will persist in the remaining seaboards of Mindanao (waves up to 2.5 meters high). Small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible.
Kristine is the country’s 11th tropical cyclone for 2024 and the first for October. It could exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday afternoon, October 25.
Aside from the severe tropical storm, PAGASA is also monitoring a low pressure area (LPA) that formed outside PAR at 8 pm on Wednesday, October 23.
As of 2 am on Thursday, it was located 2,385 kilometers east of northeastern Mindanao.
PAGASA Weather Specialist Benison Estareja said the LPA has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression within 24 hours, but it will remain far from the country in the next three days.
It could enter PAR early next week, however, and further updates are expected. – Rappler.com